Dasgupta, S.
Sobhan, I.


The World Bank Group

Year of Publication:


This paper investigates possible impacts of climate change on the poor communities of the Bangladesh Sundarbans via changes in aquatic salinity and mangrove species. The impli-cations for poor communities are assessed by computing changes in high-value mangrove species for the five sub-dis-tricts in the Sundarbans. The results of the impact analysis indicate highly varied patterns of gain and loss across the five sub-districts. Overall, however, the results indicate that salinity-induced mangrove migration will have a strongly regressive impact on the value of timber stocks because of the loss of the highest value timber of Heretiera fomes. In addi-tion, augmented potential for honey production is likely to increase conflicts between humans and wildlife in the region.

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